Forum Topic

Private market housing in desirable locations is always going to sell particularly waterside locations so it shouldn't be a surprise that this continues to be built. There seems to be some confusion about what affordable actually means in this context. In the generally understood sense, all housing is built to be affordable as no developer would construct something they couldn't sell. 'Affordable' housing when we are talking about councils is effectively subsidised with the cost of provision being put on the developer, effectively a tax on house building.  My view is that it is very dangerous for the state to start concerning itself with profit margins of businesses. Your belief that both affordable housing and infrastructure should be paid for by developers is shared across government both local and national. This system work reasonably well when interest rates were low and construction was more affordable. A combination of Covid, Ukraine, Brexit and now Iran has meant that developers have to carry the burden of both increased costs and the quasi taxes that you want to levy on them. The result is that housing starts have collapsed. This is compounded by Housing Associations not having the means to take on affordable units due to their own costs rising as a result of increased regulation. As I said, it is a complex situation with no apparent straightforward solution. I believe complaints about infrastructure are often overstated and most affordable housing other than that for social rent is not particularly attractive for people looking for homes so I would waive any such requirements for new developments that meet the needs of the local area e.g. for Ealing, family housing. You could also fast track the planning process for schemes that clearly are a response to local need and not speculative.

Gordon Southwell ● 5d

There’s plenty of housing being built in some areas. Pop down to Brentford and see the swanky riverside flats going up there apace. It’s the same in other parts of the country. I was in Poole recently and no shortage of new builds there either. But then these are expensive properties aimed at the investment market or those with money looking to relocate.Perhaps the developers need to reassess their profit margins, 20-30 percent on any project is always going to make affordable housing a low priority for them.Perhaps London has reached its natural population capacity. Infrastructure is creaking and we don’t have enough investment in things like hospitals and transport to support the massive influx of new residents.If you look at places like Brentford where huge new developments are planned at the old GSK site, at the old Homebase site and the existing Tesco site you have to ask how are these tens of thousands of people going to access things like healthcare? West Middlesex hospital won’t cope.It’s madness to promise house building without investment in infrastructure. The s106 monies never found its way to where it was needed, and the new CIL(well, new to Ealing anyway, after 15 years) has already seen developers like Berkeley Homes exempted because they said it would make regeneration in Southall unviable. Who are they kidding?As you point out, there’s a collapse in private sector market for flats, yet still they want to build more.What’s your solution to this housing crisis Gordon? The price of a property is usually dictated by location. London is expensive, without even considering the costs of council tax, transport and everything else.

Simon Hayes ● 5d

It is probably worth going over what actually happened here because there seems to be a fairly profound misunderstanding of the situation. I'm not sure where Simon got the idea that I said the council hadn't borrowed any money to fund this — borrowing more was the whole point. The council can get funds from Public Works Loan Board (PWLB) at relatively low rates. It took out a huge loan to fund Broadway Living which would have had to pay higher rates if it went to the market.  I can't claim to fully understand why it was done this way but it is safe to assume that there was a regulatory constraint which prevented the council just borrowing the money and developing properties directly. In 2014 doing it through an arms length management company was the only practical way. My guess would be that the government of the time thought it was a good way to encourage councils to be more entrepreneurial — a terrible idea in my view.  There were really two choices for the council — operate within existing constraints and build less housing or use this convoluted structure to get value out of the council's land bank. I can almost imagine the meeting in which this was agreed talking about the huge potential gains due to Crossrail and HS2. This would have made perfect sense at the time.  It is possible that the only alternative to this structure was to sell landbank to developers. Quick and easy in terms of raising money but I can understand why it would have been felt that the council would have been short changed if this had been the approach.  While I always thought Broadway Living was a bad idea, I have to admit I am not putting forward any sensible ideas as to what the right thing to do would have been but neither are those who are the most critical of the council about this. It would be interesting to hear an informed view about what they should have done instead.

Gordon Southwell ● 5d

Philippa, you are beyond parody. If you can’t find a link you just make up something that’s plausible in your limited imagination.The Blair government loosened the regulation art framework on British banks to such an extent that the overseeing body, the FSA was labelled the Fundamentally Supine Authority by Private Eye.Here’s some information for you. In 2008 I was working in Canary Wharf. I knew a lot of very senior bankers at various banks and some of them had cottoned on to the fact that their casino banking was leaving them exposed. One was Michael Geoghan, then the boss of HSBC (that’s a GLOBAL bank, by the way). He told me that his bank was hurriedly trying to shore up its finances as they knew trouble was brewing. They did this by selling off the tower housing their HQ to a Spanish property company for £1.09billion in late 2007. That was the biggest property deal in the UK at the time. It gave them enough liquidity to cover the risks they’d exposed themselves to.Needless to say the Spanish company, Metrovacesa, went bust because it was overexposed when the banking squeeze happened.Other banks went to borrow from wealth funds, notably Barclays which got loans from the Saudis. Other banks weren’t so sharp off the mark and paid the price.Remember Northern Rock? First of the UK banks to go bust? Nothing to do with the global crisis, but everything to do with banks being allowed free rein with people’s money.Of course you shall plough your furrow regardless. Maybe you should do a little research into the Blair-Brown PFI schemes. How did they work out?

Simon Hayes ● 8d

Well the Sunak story is hardly going to be recent, is it? But then Goldsmith Street was nearly 10 years ago.  I'll look out some of the other versions of the story.I was trying to point out to you what happened following the success of Norwich's building of Goldsmith Street and how the problems of RTB was likely to still cause a problem for Norwich in trying to keep their new housing as social housing - because there has been a longtime need for it.  You did after all say that Norwich had achieved building social housing.Of course the problem is also one of affordability and we should all know by now that it is a myth that housing that has been billed as "affordable" IS actually affordable to a great many people who need housing and it is because of this that social housing is still needed.I don't think you will ever have found me extolling the virtues of the Cannes trips that so many developers and LA people seem/seemed to go on because I've always thought that  rather unsavoury just as I find MPs and political party followers who do this sort of shmoozing the same. I too have complained about those developers who seem to constantly manage to wriggle their way out of providing the social housing as part of their development that they have already agreed to and which you have to wonder whether they ever intended to and who either conspire or allow inferior and less safe products to be used on their buildings just so as to make a bigger profit.The heat is NOT getting to me.  It isn't even really hot today and I've lived in much hotter places where they have learned to keep cool without resorting to AC and where buildings have been actually designed to suit the climate - and where trees are better respected.

Philippa Bond ● 8d

You haven’t quite got things correct Gordon.The council did take out a loan to fund Broadway Living, a whopping £400m sanctioned by Julian Bell when he was leader in 2020. This was four years after the Brexit referendum.Broadway Living never made any money. It was sucking huge tranches of money from the council accounts to cover all its losses in the early days. The ambitious plan - devised by those megaminds Bell and Peter Mason - was to knock down Perceval House and build huge ugly towers of tiny flats on the site (with no outdoor space provision). That hit the buffers with planning.Then the Gurnell site was earmarked as part of the BL portfolio but that was rejected by the planning committee, despite it being dominated by Labour councillors. Mainly because it was an inappropriate use of Metropolitan Open Land but also because the proposed development was simply the wrong option.Those of us who have been following this for years were well aware of the risky exposure for Ealing taxpayers. It’s still not clear how these losses will be covered, and you can pretty much bet it will be a lot more than the £5.5m being quoted. Henry Construction lost the council double that amount according to the unlamented Shital Manro, lately cabinet member for housing.Broadway Living was set up in early 2014. It wasn’t necessary as the council was perfectly able to build social housing as it and other local authorities had done for years. There are still councils building excellent housing elsewhere in the country - Norwich springs to mind - but Bell and Mason clearly had their heads turned by all those jollies to Cannes where they were wined and dined by various developers.This isn’t about Labour or Conservatives or Monster Raving Loonies. It’s about councils leaders with limited experience thinking there was easy money to be made from gambling on the housing market. That’s not their role. It’s just a local authority version of casino banking, and remember how badly that turned out.Here’s an article for you to read: https://ealingmatters.org.uk/ealing-council-to-borrow-400-million-to-finance-broadway-living-what-could-possibly-go-wrong/

Simon Hayes ● 18d