Oh dear. There will be a ceiling on the number of regular cyclists, probably close to that already. It’s a leisure activity for many, as you know.Even Cycling UK say this:‘ EnglandChildren and adultsCommuting: 35% (2015-19); 20% (2020); 27% (2021)Leisure*: 34% (2015-19); 55% (2020); 46% (2021)Shopping: 11% (2015-19, 2020 & 2021)Education/escort education: 11% (2015-19); 6% (2020); 8% (2021)Personal business + business + other escort – 11% (2015-19); 8% (2020 & 2021)*Visit friends at home and elsewhere, entertainment, sport, holiday and day trip.The drop in commuting for 2020 and 2021 is probably explained by more people working from home more often.The figures above come from the National Travel Survey (NTS).’They also say the risks most commonly cited by cycling lobbyists are exaggerated, and you know that incidents in Ealing are very rare, Ben.‘ Great BritainEvery road casualty, of course, is a road casualty too many. Cycling is safer than many people think it is, however, and the health benefits outweigh the risks.On public roads, over a distance equivalent to 1,000 times round the earth at its widest point:From 2015-19 on average each year:One cyclist was killed (0.72)32 were seriously injured97 were slightly injuredThe figures for 2020, when motor traffic dropped significantly and cycling levels rose, are:One killed (0.66)20 seriously injured56 slightly injuredThe figures for 2021 are:One killed (0.66)26 seriously injured71 slightly injuredAlso:There are around 9 to 10 million cycle trips for every cyclist fatalityThe general risk of injury of any severity while cycling is very small per 1,000 hours of cycling on public roads: 0.045 (2015-19); 0.025 (2020); 0.039 (2021). About three-quarters of these injuries were slight. (Includes incidents reported to the police only)The risk of being killed while cycling per billion miles cycled has been trending downwards since 2012, as has the risk of being seriously or slightly injured. (Includes incidents reported to the police only)’Source for this is CyclingUK website.
Simon Hayes ● 271d