Forum Topic

Should We All Be Praying for Dominic Raab To Be Our Next Prime Minister?

So it is the end of May and now the bun fight starts to be the next Tory leader. My personal preference among all the candidates so far is Rory Stewart as he can grasp detail and complex issues and has been a competent Minister. This can't be said for many other of the names being put in the hat. Failing him, Sajid Javid would be an interesting choice and he would probably be up to the job. The big issue though is how to prevent Boris Johnson winning. He is clearly the favourite among the Tory associations despite the overwhelming evidence that he would be an appalling Prime Minister. They clearly are reckoning that his name recognition would be the best way to block a Jeremy Corbyn election victory but that is a high price to pay. The hope would be that the MPs recognise how bad for the country Johnson would be as PM and refuse to get on his bandwagon. That would mean the two candidates to be put forward would be a hard Brexit one and a soft Brexit one. If Raab is positioned as the no compromise candidate this might take away MP votes from Johnson. The hard Brexit candidate would win the vote of the membership but as long as he is not Boris I think I could live with that. The new leader would then have to deal with the same parliamentary mathematics that stymied Theresa May and it is hard to see how a reduced willingness to compromise is going to lead to a majority in the House for whatever way forward is being proposed.

Gordon Southwell ● 2507d23 Comments

Boris will be bad for Britain.I had the dubious privilege of interviewing Mr Johnson when he was Mayor of London. Not a pleasant experience.He was evasive, blustering and often tried to steer the conversation away from the issues.He got particularly cross when I tackled him about the cable car across the Thames, which at the time was still in the planning stage. Most interested parties I spoke to had said they thought it was a poor idea and didn’t add up as a business plan. There were other transport solutions in east London that would have benefitted from the investment used on the cable car.When I brought this up Mr Johnson got very cross indeed and started shouting at me very loudly from about two feet away. He wanted to know who had suggested it was a bad idea (as a former journalist he should have known better than to ask for sources) and blustered on about how it would be a brilliant success and, of course, it would be privately funded. He was really aggressive and nasty, obviously a nerve was touched.Fast forward a few years and the cable car is running but barely anyone uses it other than tourists. It’s massively subsided by the taxpayer, despite the Emirates Airline sponsorship, and the other river crossings desperately needed in east London remain unbuilt. He’d actually pulled the plug on a number of schemes Ken Livingstone had started, only to claim some years later that he would be bringing them back (which never happened).Of course the one river crossing he did kick start was the ill-fated Garden Bridge, and we all know how that swallowed £45m of our cash without a thing to show for it.He’s a dangerous man but many people are fooled by his breezy public persona. Frankly, he lacks all credibility as a politician.

Simon Hayes ● 2485d

Yes Andy a faustian pact. voting for Boris is just that. Max Hasting wroteHe worked for me as EU correspondent of the Daily Telegraph and then as a columnist when I was the paper's editor, and I have seen plenty of him since. He is a magnificent journalist and showman. He proved himself the perfect maitre d' for the London Olympics. But few maitre d's are fit to cook the dinner.Most politicians are ambitious and ruthless, but Boris is a gold medal egomaniac. I would not trust him with my wife nor – from painful experience – my wallet. It is unnecessary to take any moral view about his almost crazed infidelities, but it is hard to believe that any man so conspicuously incapable of controlling his own libido is fit to be trusted with controlling the country.His chaotic public persona is not an act – he is, indeed, manically disorganised about everything except his own image management. He is also a far more ruthless, and frankly nastier, figure than the public appreciates.When one of his many sexual affairs was exposed and much trumpeted in the headlines, he telephoned a friend of mine who was then running one of Britain's largest media organisations. "It's utterly disgraceful what your reporters are doing on-screen about my private life," spluttered Boris. "It's time you realised that I know all about your private life. If your organisation goes on reporting my affairs like this, you'll be reading all about yours in the Spectator [the magazine he then edited]."My friend responded: "Stop a minute, Boris, and think about what you just said. There is a word for it, and it is not a pretty one – 'blackmail'." Johnson waffled away, muttering that he had never really meant it. But he is much given to making threats, bearing grudges and behaving with malice aforethought.I would not take Boris's word about whether it is Monday or Tuesday. I feel a twinge of regret for speaking so harshly, because I am as susceptible as most of the British people to Johnson's brilliant, warm, funny public persona.

Peter Chadburn ● 2485d

Of all the many problems there would be with picking Johnson as a leader his small majority is probably the most significant. Let's assume for now he wins the leadership contest with promises of leaving the EU regardless on 31 October. We can take it as a given that a new deal with the EU won't be magically conjured up between now and then. Even if it was somehow, he doesn't have the votes in the house to get it passed, whatever it is. Therefore as Halloween approaches he will probably be faced with a vote of no confidence. It is safe to assume that he will do everything he can to stay in power so at that point he may consider calling a general election. The problem is that he won his seat with a majority of just 5,000 and UKIP only polled 3.8% in his seat. If the Remain parties cooperate it is hard to see how he could win without an electoral pact with the Brexit party.  This may serve Johnson's personal interests but it would be the most divisive act ever by a leader of the Conservatives. The Brexit party would insist on contesting the seats of those MPs considered to be too soft on leaving the EU. If the party didn't split before the election it  would afterwards. The problem with this option, apart from the destruction of the party, would be that if Johnson fought the election on a 'no deal' ticket he knows he wouldn't achieve a majority in the House. That leaves the other intriguing possibility that Johnson will feel that the only way that he can cling on to power is by accepting the need for a confirmatory referendum. Whatever the result it would see him in control for another couple of years and then he could fight an election against a Jeremy Corbyn led Labour party in which Brexit wasn't the main issue. This obvious would be a betrayal of everyone who supported him as leader but they should not be surprised when a man who has acted in a cravenly opportunistic way all through his career acts in a cravenly opportunistic way.




Gordon Southwell ● 2500d